The International Energy Agency has an online bookstore.
 
World Energy Outlook 2002 (2002) , 530 pages, ISBN 92-64-19835-0
Type: Studies
Subject: Energy Policy ; Energy Projections ; Energy Markets ; Environment
No Free download until 01/01/2005

The International Energy Agency's World Energy Outlook has long been recognized as the authoritative source for projections of global trends in energy supply and demand, trade and investment and carbon dioxide emissions. This edition extends its projection horizon to the year 2030. Against the background of the re-emergence of energy security as a global concern, it highlights the rapidly expanding importance of China as a strategic buyer on world oil and gas markets, the fact that a quarter of the world's population still lacks modern energy services, the huge investments needed to maintain dependable energy supplies world wide, and the scale of the task facing those countries that are committed to reducing their greenhouse-gas emissions under the Kyoto Protocol.

The 2002 Outlook provides a solid analytical basis for understanding these challenges, which call for strong policy responses, involving both governments and the private sector.

World Energy Outlook 2002 is available for €120 as a PDF. The 2004 update is available in November. The caption from the site above says:
 
A key result of the Outlook is that energy trade will expand rapidly. In particular, the major oil- and gas-consuming regions will see their imports grow substantially. This trade will increase mutual dependence among nations. But it will also intensify concerns about the world’s vulnerability to energy supply disruptions, as production is increasingly concentrated in a small number of producing countries. Supply security has moved to the top of the energy policy agenda. The governments of oil- and gas-importing countries will need to take a more proactive role in dealing with the energy security risks inherent in fossil-fuel trade. They will need to pay more attention to maintaining the security of international sea lanes and pipelines. And they will look anew at ways of diversifying their fuels, as well as the geographic sources of those fuels.
Here is a PDF of the Executive Summary - World Energy Outlook 2002 of the World Energy Outlook 2002.

As you read this piece, you have to ask the question, "isn't there a better way?". The Soft Path is the better way. If, instead of investing money in a fragile and vulnerable energy supply system, we make energy independence based on renewable energy a man-on-the-moon effort, we stand half a chance.

Recently, there was a story about how the government had reclassified fast-food as a manufacturing industry to make the numbers look better. You want manufacturing jobs? Shift the subsidies that now go to the mature fossil fuel industries and provide a mechanism to spark the solar business. Imagine a tomorrow when it is common for most buildings to have arrays of photovoltaic and water heating solar panels and new buildings are designed to be energy efficient. Vast arrays of PV panels in combination with vast farms of wind turbines would allow us to shift to renewable energy. Going solar changes the economics because you pay for the future value upfront. The technology of these devices gives them a long life because they require no fuel.